Gold price at year end?
Commodities
5,000 Or AboveYes 3.33No 1.41
5,500 Or AboveYes 6.25No 1.14
Gold & oil prediction markets
Gold and WTI price questions. Compare the threshold, deadline and saved Yes / No odds.
In focus
01 / 03
All markets 8
·Decimal odds. Check current prices at Zizobet.
8 markets
When will oil (WTI) rise above $100?
Commodities
Before 2027Yes 2.00No 1.92
Before DecemberYes 1.92No 1.67
Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?
Commodities
Above $62.99Yes 1.02No 1.28
Above $63.99Yes 1.03No 1.18
WTI price at year end?
Commodities
100 Or AboveYes 7.14No 1.15
105 Or AboveYes 10.00No 1.10
How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?
Commodities
$5/Mtok Or BelowYes 14.29No 1.03
$6/Mtok Or BelowYes 11.11No 1.02
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 output token price get in 2026?
Commodities
$15/Mtok Or BelowYes 6.25No 1.14
$20/Mtok Or BelowYes 4.17No 1.23
How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?
Commodities
$5/Mtok Or BelowYes 16.67No 1.01
$20/Mtok Or BelowYes 7.14No 1.11
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get in 2026?
Commodities
$4/Mtok Or BelowYes 4.76No 1.18
$3/Mtok Or BelowYes 6.25No 1.11
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Gold and oil markets: a price level needs a time condition
Oil reaching a price at any point is different from oil finishing the year at that price. Both can sound like the same forecast in conversation, but the condition changes what has to happen for a bet to win.
The captured commodity board includes WTI crossing $100, WTI on a specified day, year-end WTI and year-end gold. Start by choosing the kind of price question you mean, then compare the outcome labels.
Look inside a market
Saved oddsRead the question and its outcomes
Check whether the price only has to touch a level or must be above it at a specified time. The quote source, currency and unit also belong to the condition.
Three ways to frame a commodity-price bet
Swipe to compare all columns
| Question format | What you are comparing | Read in the full terms |
|---|---|---|
| Reach a threshold | Whether a level is reached within the window | Qualifying observation and deadline |
| Price on a named day | The value at the specified observation | Time, timezone and source |
| Year-end price | The defined end-of-year result | Closing, settlement or other specified measure |
Gold prediction-market odds for different thresholds
The saved gold question includes “5,000 Or Above” and other threshold selections. A higher threshold asks more of the same price measure. The odds apply to that individual condition; they are not a target price published by this website.
Several thresholds can be satisfied by the same final price. Do not assume every row is an exclusive alternative, and do not add their implied percentages as though they were a single list of mutually exclusive winners. Read the question and outcome together.
Oil prediction markets: keep WTI and the observation window together
The oil examples here name WTI. A headline about another oil benchmark or a different contract is not automatically the figure that settles the bet. Check the benchmark, unit and source named by the operator.
The question about WTI rising above $100 has a different structure from the question about its price on Election Day. If your view concerns a temporary spike, that distinction matters before you even look at the odds.
Why are AI token-price questions on this board?
The supplied source also places some AI usage-price questions in its Commodities category. These concern the price of specified input or output tokens, not gold or oil. Check the named model, tier, unit and side of the pricing before comparing them.
For product launches and model-release timing, use AI and technology markets. For the economic figures that sit behind the headlines, browse economic-event questions.
Questions about commodity markets
Are these live gold and oil forecasts?
No. They are saved event questions and odds from the source board. This page does not publish a live commodity price feed or an investment forecast.
Does gold touching a threshold mean a year-end bet wins?
Not necessarily. A year-end question may require a value at a particular observation time. A touch during the year is a different condition.
Can two gold thresholds both finish Yes?
Yes, if they are separate threshold conditions and the qualifying final price meets both. That differs from a set of non-overlapping price ranges.
Does an oil headline about Brent answer a WTI question?
Not by itself. Brent and WTI are different benchmarks. A WTI market needs the benchmark and price observation specified in its own terms.
Are input-token and output-token prices the same outcome?
No. They are separate pricing measures. Match the named model, tier, unit and input or output side before reading the threshold.
Review the current gold and oil markets
Confirm the price definition and deadline alongside the available quote.