Best AI at the end of 2026?
Science And Technology
ChatgptYes 7.52No 1.15
ClaudeYes 1.45No 3.21
AI & technology prediction markets
AI releases, model rankings and technology milestones, with captured Yes / No odds.
In focus
01 / 03
All markets 8
·Decimal odds. Check current prices at Zizobet.
8 markets
When will OpenAI release Astra?
Science And Technology
Before Nov 1, 2026Yes 1.12No 7.14
Before Dec 1, 2026Yes 1.01No 14.29
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Science And Technology
Before 2027Yes 1.47No 2.94
Before OctoberYes 11.11No 1.04
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Science And Technology
Above $7.37Yes 1.41No 3.33
Above $7.67Yes 1.67No 2.44
When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?
Science And Technology
Before Nov 1, 2026Yes 1.14No 2.78
Before Sep 1, 2026Yes 1.67No 1.06
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
Science And Technology
At Least 10Yes 1.04No 8.33
At Least $2000Yes 1.67No 2.17
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Science And Technology
Before 2027Yes 12.66No 1.08
Before 2028Yes 4.55No 1.22
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Science And Technology
Before 2027Yes 19.61No 1.01
Before 2028Yes 7.69No 1.06
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AI release-date odds depend on what counts as a release
An announcement, an invite-only preview and general availability can happen on different days. If you are comparing AI release-date markets, that difference is more useful than another rumour about when a model might arrive.
The saved examples include OpenAI and xAI releases, an Anthropic model question, an AI ranking and a possible foldable iPhone price. They are market questions, not confirmed product plans or launch announcements.
Look inside a market
Saved oddsRead the question and its outcomes
A demonstration is not necessarily a release. Check whether the terms require public access, API access, a named version or another specific milestone.
Which technology outcome are you comparing?
Swipe to compare all columns
| Market type | Example on this board | Definition to check |
|---|---|---|
| Release timing | An OpenAI or xAI model release | The exact model and qualifying access |
| Model ranking | Best AI at the end of the year | The named benchmark or ranking method |
| Product price | A foldable iPhone price | Model, currency, tax and availability conditions |
| Compute pricing | NVIDIA B200 compute price | The service, unit and observation window |
| Scientific milestone | The next Millennium Prize | The awarding body and formal announcement |
Choose a release window you can actually compare
“Before October” and “before January” are different conditions even when they refer to the same product. A later deadline allows more time, and several date thresholds may be satisfied by one release. Keep that in mind when reading the rows.
Check whether a model renaming, a limited rollout or a successor product qualifies. The source’s complete settlement rules matter more than the short label. The board itself does not confirm that an unreleased product will appear.
A “best AI” market needs a named yardstick
Your preferred assistant and the winner of a benchmark are different ideas of “best”. Before comparing a model-ranking price, find the actual ranking source, measurement time and tie rules. Otherwise, you may be taking a view on a different question from the one being settled.
If your interest is what a company says about AI on its earnings call, browse mentions markets. For a particular model’s usage pricing, the source places those examples in Commodities.
Compare technology-market coverage at the question level
A site can carry AI markets while missing the model or release window you want. Compare the exact contract, current selection list and accepted odds, then check the outcome rules. This is especially useful for fast-changing product names and staged launches.
Questions about technology markets
Does a launch rumour count as a release?
A rumour does not itself establish the product event. The market rules determine what evidence and type of release qualify.
Does a model being available to a small test group settle a release-date question?
Only if that type of access meets the stated rules. Private testing, a preview and general availability can be treated differently.
Does a product being renamed automatically cancel the question?
Do not assume it does. The full terms may specify how renamed, successor or substantially equivalent products are handled.
Can several release deadlines all finish Yes?
They can if a qualifying release happens before several separate deadline conditions. Read whether the selections are before-date thresholds or exclusive date ranges.
Does winning one AI benchmark settle a best-model market?
Only if that is the benchmark or ranking method named in the question. A result on a different evaluation is context, not necessarily the deciding evidence.
See the current technology markets
Match the product, milestone and deadline before reviewing the current price.