When will Scotland call a snap election?
Politics
Before Jan 1, 2028Yes 3.03No 1.37
Before Jul 1, 2027Yes 5.00No 1.16
Political betting & election prediction markets
Election dates, leadership changes and political outcomes, with captured Yes / No odds.
In focus
01 / 03
All markets 8
·Decimal odds. Check current prices at Zizobet.
8 markets
World leaders out before 2027?
Politics
Ramzan KadyrovYes 16.67No 1.03
Kim Jong UnYes 24.39No 1.02
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?
Politics
SDAYes 2.70No 1.01
SNSDYes 1.02No 2.33
Nebraska Governor margin of victory
Politics
Republicans, 10+ PtsYes 2.22No 1.56
Republicans, 16+ PtsYes 5.00No 1.12
Clarence mayoral election winner?
Politics
Brendan BlomeleyYes 1.30No 1.15
Drew JennerYes 11.11No 1.06
When will Wales call a snap election?
Politics
Before Jan 1, 2028Yes 5.56No 1.12
Before Jul 1, 2027Yes 25.00No 1.01
Huon Valley mayoral election winner?
Politics
Paul GibsonYes 3.33No 1.28
Abby MckibbenYes 2.56No 1.49
Milton, Ontario mayoral election winner?
Politics
Asif KhanYes 50.00No 1.01
George MinakakisYes 4.17No 1.18
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Political betting starts with what “winning” actually means
A party winning the most seats, winning a majority and supplying the next prime minister are separate outcomes. Election betting becomes much easier to read once you separate those questions instead of treating every price as a forecast of the same result.
This selection includes Scottish and Welsh snap-election questions, alongside international leadership and election markets. It is a snapshot of the source board, not a complete list of UK election betting options.
Look inside a market
Saved oddsRead the question and its outcomes
For an election-date question, check whether the condition is the announcement, the formal calling of the election or polling day itself. The short title may not settle that distinction.
Which election betting market matches your view?
These are different political market formats. Only the questions actually present in the card selection are represented by the saved odds above.
Swipe to compare all columns
| Market type | What it asks | Detail to check |
|---|---|---|
| Most seats | Which party wins the largest number of seats | A plurality is different from a majority |
| Overall majority | Whether a party passes the required seat threshold | The named parliament and the exact threshold |
| Election timing | Whether a specified election event happens before a date | What counts as the election being called |
| Margin or placing | The winning margin or a candidate’s finishing position | Votes, percentage points or another stated measure |
| Leader departure | Whether a person leaves the specified role | Temporary absence, succession and the deadline |
UK politics betting: start with the right election
For general election betting, identify the election and the body being elected before comparing odds. Westminster, a devolved parliament and a local council are different contests, with different candidates and outcomes. An international market appearing on this page is not a UK election market.
The captured Scotland question offers more than one deadline. “Before Jul 1, 2027” and “Before Jan 1, 2028” leave different amounts of time for the event to happen. Comparing their prices without reading the dates would miss the main difference between the bets.
Election betting odds and opinion polls answer different questions
An opinion poll can ask how people intend to vote. A betting price concerns the outcome named in a market and reflects the price being offered for that outcome. Neither should be treated as a guarantee.
When you compare political betting odds, keep the outcome, deadline and settlement wording the same. A shorter price on a different condition does not establish that one site offers better value. The Implied % display can make the prices easier to read, but it does not turn them into a poll.
Choosing a political betting site for a particular event
Look for the market you actually want: a general-election outcome, a leadership change or a local result. Then check the full selection list, current odds and how unusual results are handled. Withdrawn candidates, a postponed vote or a tied result are questions for the operator’s rules, not assumptions to make from the card.
If your interest is a meeting involving Trump or Putin rather than an election, the news and social markets are a closer match. For the possible economic consequences of politics, browse the economic-event board; it settles different questions from who wins office.
Questions about political betting
Is “most seats” the same as winning an overall majority?
No. A party can have more seats than any other party without passing the majority threshold. Check which condition the market actually names.
Does No on an election-date market mean the election will never happen?
No. It means the specified condition has not been met within the market’s defined window, subject to its settlement rules. The election could still happen later.
Can I find current general election odds here?
You can browse the political questions captured for this board, but it is not a live or complete general-election odds service. Open the operator to see which questions and prices are currently available.
What happens if an election is delayed?
Read the individual market’s deadline and postponement rules. A timing question may be affected differently from a question about the eventual winner, so a delay does not have one universal consequence.
Can a leader temporarily stepping aside count as leaving office?
That depends on the role and departure definition in the full terms. A temporary absence, permanent resignation and replacement can be treated differently.
Can I compare a local-election price with a national-election price?
They concern different contests and cannot be treated as two prices for the same outcome. Match the election, jurisdiction and precise selection when comparing odds.
Check the current political markets
Match the election, outcome and deadline before comparing the current price.