US share of global GDP in 2026
Economics
Above 25.1%Yes 1.01No 50.00
Above 25.2%Yes 1.01No 50.00
Economic prediction markets & event betting
GDP, global payments and freight measures. Read the economic question behind each captured price.
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Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026
Economics
5,000 Or AboveYes 6.67No 1.14
1,500 To 1,999.99Yes 8.33No 1.12
USD share of Swift international payments in December 2026
Economics
Above 58.0%Yes 1.23No 3.85
Above 57.0%Yes 1.02No 11.11
US real GDP growth in 2031?
Economics
2.1% To 2.5%Yes 5.00No 1.11
3.1% To 3.5%Yes 12.50No 1.02
US real GDP growth in 2035?
Economics
1.1% To 1.5%Yes 8.33No 1.06
2.1% To 2.5%Yes 7.14No 1.09
US real GDP growth in 2034?
Economics
1.1% To 1.5%Yes 10.00No 1.09
2.1% To 2.5%Yes 8.33No 1.10
US real GDP growth in 2036?
Economics
1.1% To 1.5%Yes 9.09No 1.08
2.1% To 2.5%Yes 7.14No 1.12
US real GDP growth in 2033?
Economics
0.1% To 0.5%Yes 10.00No 1.04
1.1% To 1.5%Yes 9.09No 1.11
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An economic event needs a measure and a deadline
“The economy grows” leaves a lot unanswered. Which economy, which measure, which period and which published figure? Economic prediction markets turn that broad view into a condition that can be checked against a specified result.
This selection includes the US share of global GDP, US real GDP growth, the dollar’s share of international payments and the Shanghai Container Freight Index. It does not promise that every inflation or interest-rate event is listed.
Look inside a market
Saved oddsRead the question and its outcomes
Check whether the question uses a level, a growth rate or a share of a total. Then check the period and the version of the published data used for settlement.
Four economic questions that should not be mixed up
Swipe to compare all columns
| Market | What the number represents | Important distinction |
|---|---|---|
| US share of global GDP | A share of a worldwide total | A percentage share is not a growth rate |
| US real GDP growth | Change in inflation-adjusted output | The specified year and growth convention |
| USD share of Swift payments | A share of measured payments | The named network and reporting month |
| Shanghai freight index | A published freight measure | The specific index and observation date |
Choosing a market for an economic event
If you are comparing sites for economic-event betting, start with coverage of the release you follow. A page with many markets may still lack the one reporting month or definition you want. Next, check the outcome bands, the quoted price and the source named in the rules.
Publication can happen after the period being measured. A question about a calendar year may not settle on 31 December if the relevant result is released later. Look at both the measurement window and the settlement conditions.
Find out which published number counts
Some economic figures are revised. The number first reported and the figure in a later dataset can differ, so the market needs to specify which release it uses. Read that part before comparing your own estimate with a threshold.
For a GDP share, also check the basis of the comparison rather than assuming every chart uses the same definition. This board shows the short market labels, not a replacement for the operator’s complete data-source rules.
Questions about economic-event betting
Does this page include every rate or inflation market?
No. The visible selection reflects the captured source. The current examples focus on GDP, payments and freight measures. Check the operator for its wider, current inventory.
Why can a yearly market have a later settlement date?
The measured period can end before the relevant data is published. The operator’s rules determine which release and deadline apply.
Is a country’s share of global GDP its GDP growth rate?
No. One is a proportion of a worldwide total; the other is a change over time. A market naming one measure is not settled by the other.
Can a revised figure change the result?
That depends on which publication and revision rules the market uses. Check whether the first release, a later estimate or a specified cutoff controls settlement.
Does a positive economic headline mean the Yes side wins?
Only the stated numerical condition matters. A headline calling a result strong does not show that it exceeds the particular threshold in your selection.
Check the current economic-event board
Match the measure and reporting period before reviewing the current odds.